Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.248996 0.292177 0.343297 0.409027 0.492403 0.596167 7.375561e-01
2025-01-26 0.186902 0.240106 0.311486 0.417392 0.576361 0.816711 1.231064e+00
2025-02-02 0.153445 0.210360 0.294112 0.433140 0.673539 1.107688 2.058637e+00
2025-02-09 0.130800 0.188266 0.279044 0.443967 0.765646 1.449479 3.363260e+00
2025-02-16 0.115380 0.172808 0.269040 0.458057 0.869391 1.894516 5.644564e+00
2025-02-23 0.102952 0.159249 0.258285 0.466171 0.964915 2.411210 9.471862e+00
2025-03-02 0.092702 0.147297 0.247358 0.469859 1.052830 3.009015 1.612805e+01
2025-03-09 0.083770 0.136084 0.235302 0.467068 1.123603 3.651216 2.759622e+01
2025-03-16 0.075654 0.125100 0.221512 0.456074 1.166212 4.260809 4.638899e+01
2025-03-23 0.071165 0.120232 0.219193 0.472475 1.307853 5.622705 1.136787e+02
2025-03-30 0.065190 0.111679 0.207537 0.461302 1.349007 6.541837 2.361598e+02
2025-04-06 0.061287 0.106723 0.202894 0.468052 1.465778 8.342611 8.515077e+02
2025-04-13 0.056895 0.100365 0.194313 0.462020 1.532489 10.072301 4.379743e+03
2025-04-20 0.054011 0.096796 0.191675 0.473434 1.692169 13.608445 3.349479e+06
2025-04-27 0.051808 0.094392 0.191412 0.492560 1.913841 19.730671 NaN
2025-05-04 0.049494 0.091473 0.189399 0.505558 2.122644 28.275306 NaN
2025-05-11 0.047547 0.089134 0.188472 0.522346 2.381841 43.089895 NaN
2025-05-18 0.045473 0.086283 0.185761 0.532015 2.614262 64.720053 NaN
2025-05-25 0.043385 0.083185 0.181930 0.536411 2.822466 96.699054 NaN
2025-06-01 0.041215 0.079693 0.176532 0.533090 2.972174 138.887484 NaN
2025-06-08 0.038917 0.075704 0.169240 0.520012 3.026495 182.694606 NaN
2025-06-15 0.037823 0.074458 0.169533 0.539529 3.434241 387.847830 NaN
2025-06-22 0.035850 0.070940 0.162815 0.526229 3.488408 552.635124 NaN